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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+5.91vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.74+0.54vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+5.34vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.90+6.61vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+1.55vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+2.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.53+6.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.71+1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.93+6.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-2.19+7.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.74vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.53+2.11vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54+0.83vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.96+2.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-1.70-0.26vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.82-0.61vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.07-0.47vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-2.26-0.48vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-4.61vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-0.33vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.45-7.49vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.88-1.72vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-3.23-1.32vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-4.50vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.78-4.97vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University1.23-22.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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2.54University of California at Santa Cruz1.740.4%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.61University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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6.55University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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8.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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13.75University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.45University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.7University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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17.08University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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10.26University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.0%1st Place
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14.11San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.83Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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16.14University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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14.74University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.39University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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16.53Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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17.52Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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14.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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19.67California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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13.51San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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20.28University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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21.68University of California at Los Angeles-3.230.0%1st Place
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19.5University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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20.03California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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3.58San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 35.3% | 24.2% | 15.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 1.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mayfield | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Dante Massaro | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Bennett Alger | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Elias Ricken | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.7% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.1% |
| julian stauffer | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 18.8% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 16.2% | 26.2% |
| Luke Graham | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 13.3% |
| Aston Smith | 19.1% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.