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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+5.32vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+1.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz1.74-0.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+3.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.90+4.16vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.53+6.20vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.06-1.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+0.86vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-2.80+8.99vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-2.07+4.85vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-2.26+4.71vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-1.53+0.32vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-0.81vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.71-5.74vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-2.19-0.05vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64-3.56vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-1.82-3.39vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-2.88+0.38vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley-1.93-5.51vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.70-6.96vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.96-6.39vs Predicted
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23San Diego State University-1.45-10.60vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-5.18vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.78-6.08vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles-3.23-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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3.27San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
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2.45University of California at Santa Cruz1.740.4%1st Place
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7.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.2San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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9.86University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.0%1st Place
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18.99California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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15.85Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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16.71Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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13.32University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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13.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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15.95University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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13.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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14.61University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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19.38University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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14.49University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.61University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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12.4San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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18.82University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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18.92California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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20.6University of California at Los Angeles-3.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Groom | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 21.9% | 22.2% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 35.3% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Sharp | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dante Massaro | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| Brayden Money | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| Noa Brassfield | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 17.4% |
| John Mayfield | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| julian stauffer | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Luke Graham | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 10.7% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.