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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.74+1.55vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+1.48vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.00+3.96vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.06+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+3.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine-1.53+7.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83+3.28vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley-1.93+6.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.90+0.69vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.71-1.34vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-2.26+5.78vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.64+1.44vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.45-0.53vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-2.80+4.95vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.96+0.06vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.53-3.15vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.19-0.84vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.54-5.21vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-1.70-5.64vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.07-4.30vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-1.82-6.71vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-3.30vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles-3.23-2.63vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.88-4.57vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands-2.78-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.740.3%1st Place
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3.48San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
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6.96Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.000.1%1st Place
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6.66University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.0%1st Place
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13.86University of California at Irvine-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.28University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.0%1st Place
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8.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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10.69University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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9.66University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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17.78Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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14.44Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.640.0%1st Place
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13.47San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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19.95California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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16.06University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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13.85San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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17.16University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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13.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.540.0%1st Place
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14.36University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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16.7Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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19.7University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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21.37University of California at Los Angeles-3.230.0%1st Place
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20.43University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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20.2California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Ho | 34.9% | 23.3% | 18.2% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 21.8% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Groom | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brayden Money | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mayfield | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.1% |
| Noa Brassfield | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| julian stauffer | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Annika Altman | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 15.2% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Bennett Alger | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Elias Ricken | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Luke Graham | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 10.5% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 14.1% | 26.6% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 16.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.