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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.23+2.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.74+0.31vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+4.29vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+3.82vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.71+3.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.90+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.82+6.97vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14+7.39vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.10vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.06-4.08vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-2.19+4.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-1.70+1.31vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University-2.07+1.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.93+0.29vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-2.27+0.49vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.45-4.32vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-1.53-4.70vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-2.88+0.62vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-1.28vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-2.26-4.06vs Predicted
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21University of California at San Diego-1.96-6.28vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-5.28vs Predicted
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24California State University Channel Islands-2.78-5.87vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-3.23-5.03vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.86-4.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
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2.31University of California at Santa Cruz1.740.4%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.0%1st Place
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7.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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13.97University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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15.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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8.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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15.51University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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14.94Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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14.29University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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15.49University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.68San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.3San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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18.62University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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17.72California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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15.94Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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14.72University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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17.72University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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18.13California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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19.97University of California at Los Angeles-3.230.0%1st Place
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21.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 25.0% | 23.6% | 18.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 37.4% | 27.2% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Daniel Gates | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Sharp | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Elias Ricken | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| John Mayfield | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| julian stauffer | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% |
| Annika Altman | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Cole Mitchel | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Luke Graham | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 17.6% |
| Kieran McEwen | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 9.1% | 17.0% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.