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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.23+1.99vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz1.74+0.32vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.48+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+3.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.96+9.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.06-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.71+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-1.70+5.17vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.83-0.04vs Predicted
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10Santa Clara University-2.26+5.94vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.82+2.77vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University-2.07+3.13vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.53-0.63vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.27+1.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-0.90-5.82vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-2.19-1.72vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.14-2.73vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley-1.93-4.82vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-1.45-8.64vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.88-2.34vs Predicted
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22California State University Monterey Bay-2.80-3.42vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-3.23-3.26vs Predicted
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24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.86-1.98vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-7.10vs Predicted
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26California State University Channel Islands-2.78-7.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
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2.32University of California at Santa Cruz1.740.4%1st Place
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7.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.480.0%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.47University of California at San Diego-1.960.0%1st Place
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5.92University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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8.71University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.17University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Cruz-0.830.0%1st Place
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15.94Santa Clara University-2.260.0%1st Place
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13.77University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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15.13Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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12.37San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.88University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.18University of California at Berkeley-0.900.0%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Davis-2.190.0%1st Place
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15.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.18University of California at Berkeley-1.930.0%1st Place
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11.36San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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18.66University of California at Davis-2.880.0%1st Place
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18.58California State University Monterey Bay-2.800.0%1st Place
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19.74University of California at Los Angeles-3.230.0%1st Place
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22.02Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.860.0%1st Place
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17.9University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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18.03California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 24.6% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 13.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Ho | 38.6% | 26.5% | 15.5% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 3.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Isaac Sharp | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Dante Massaro | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cole Mitchel | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| JP Finnegan | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Aivan Durfee | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Daniel Gates | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| John Mayfield | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| julian stauffer | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Conti | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 8.3% |
| Annika Altman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 8.2% |
| Jackson Kurtz | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 16.1% |
| Kieran McEwen | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 42.2% |
| Luke Graham | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.