Race 4B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Johnny Norfleet 35.7% 26.4% 17.2% 10.6% 6.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Randall Hartranft 20.6% 21.2% 19.8% 13.7% 11.6% 6.1% 5.1% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 3.2% 2.5% 4.1% 5.8% 12.8% 18.6% 29.0% 19.4%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 8.2% 9.5% 11.2% 13.3% 15.5% 15.0% 12.8% 8.0% 4.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Robert Boger 9.9% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0% 13.2% 13.4% 10.1% 7.9% 4.2% 1.1% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 3.1% 3.7% 5.7% 5.3% 8.6% 10.7% 13.7% 17.6% 18.3% 10.6% 2.7%
Irene Jacqz 9.8% 10.5% 13.4% 14.9% 12.5% 14.0% 11.9% 7.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Charles Legge 4.7% 5.6% 7.2% 9.7% 11.2% 13.5% 15.0% 14.5% 13.3% 4.6% 0.7%
Alex Reynolds 5.0% 7.4% 8.7% 10.0% 12.5% 14.0% 13.9% 13.8% 8.8% 4.9% 1.0%
Lucas Holmes 1.2% 1.6% 2.3% 2.4% 4.4% 5.4% 7.7% 11.4% 20.5% 29.7% 13.4%
Hunter Snyder 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 3.4% 4.2% 7.5% 17.0% 62.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.