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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University0.72+3.84vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.57+5.37vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College1.07+0.69vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-0.45vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.08+1.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.99-2.36vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.28-0.25vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+1.42vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.97+3.02vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-1.32-0.12vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-1.78+0.39vs Predicted
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12Drexel University-0.93-2.81vs Predicted
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13Villanova University-1.59-2.21vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-2.08-1.71vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-2.72-1.06vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-2.92-1.57vs Predicted
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17Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.84Hampton University0.7210.9%1st Place
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7.37Princeton University-0.574.7%1st Place
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3.69SUNY Maritime College1.0719.9%1st Place
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3.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.0420.4%1st Place
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6.29Princeton University-0.086.5%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.9918.3%1st Place
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6.75Washington College-0.286.4%1st Place
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9.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.602.6%1st Place
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12.02Rutgers University-1.970.7%1st Place
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9.88Rochester Institute of Technology-1.322.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Rochester-1.781.7%1st Place
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9.19Drexel University-0.932.6%1st Place
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10.79Villanova University-1.591.3%1st Place
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12.29Monmouth University-2.081.1%1st Place
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13.94U. S. Military Academy-2.720.4%1st Place
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14.43University of North Carolina-2.920.2%1st Place
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13.54Stevens Institute of Technology-2.490.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Palamara | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Roberts | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Kuzloski | 19.9% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mats Braaten | 20.4% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Advik Eswaran | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 18.3% | 18.2% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tis | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ralph Molinari | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 7.0% |
| Kristen McDonough | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Gould | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Sam Randall | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Isabella Hughes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.6% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 24.6% |
| Andrew Shaz | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.1% | 33.8% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.