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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.46+10.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.64+3.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+1.41vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+4.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+5.00vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+7.33vs Predicted
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10-2.11+5.21vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.34-0.04vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.55+0.42vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.87+1.01vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-1.67-1.07vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-2.05-0.11vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-2.14-0.50vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-3.08+3.14vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-2.22-2.17vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.60-1.15vs Predicted
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20Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-8.41vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-2.81-1.91vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-7.32vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-5.06vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.22-3.49vs Predicted
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25California State University Channel Islands-2.89-5.59vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-2.04-10.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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12.08University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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7.81University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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7.48University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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11.64Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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16.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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15.21-2.110.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at San Diego-1.340.0%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
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14.01San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.93San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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14.89California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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15.5University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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20.14Santa Clara University-3.080.0%1st Place
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15.83University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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17.85University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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11.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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19.09University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
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17.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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20.51Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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19.41California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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15.32San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 24.8% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Colin Olson | 21.7% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Liam Williams | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Tony Gao | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 18.1% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Nate Powers | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Annika Burns | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| James Makler | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Pike Williams | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 24.1% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.