← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.60vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+1.44vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley-0.64+4.91vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+3.39vs Predicted
-
5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+11.19vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine-2.14+9.55vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.75vs Predicted
-
8California State University Monterey Bay-2.05+6.66vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-1.57vs Predicted
-
10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+1.71vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-1.34-0.02vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+2.91vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley-1.55-0.69vs Predicted
-
14University of California at San Diego-2.60+3.95vs Predicted
-
15San Diego State University-1.67-2.02vs Predicted
-
16-2.11-0.65vs Predicted
-
17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-5.16vs Predicted
-
18San Diego State University-2.04-3.10vs Predicted
-
19Santa Clara University-3.08+1.13vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-7.00vs Predicted
-
21San Diego State University-1.87-6.89vs Predicted
-
22University of California at Davis-2.81-3.16vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Irvine-2.22-7.26vs Predicted
-
24Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-6.19vs Predicted
-
25California State University Channel Islands-2.89-5.60vs Predicted
-
26Arizona State University-3.22-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
-
3.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
-
7.91University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
-
7.39University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
-
16.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
-
15.55University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.75University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
14.66California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.43University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
-
11.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
-
10.98University of California at San Diego-1.340.0%1st Place
-
14.91University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
-
12.31University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
-
17.95University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
-
12.98San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
-
15.35-2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
-
14.9San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
-
20.13Santa Clara University-3.080.0%1st Place
-
13.0University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
-
14.11San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
-
18.84University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
-
15.74University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
-
17.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
-
19.4California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
-
21.11Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 24.2% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 14.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 23.2% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Alex Bussey | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Briar | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Connor Fagan | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nate Powers | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Tony Gao | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% |
| Annika Burns | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 17.4% |
| Liam Williams | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| James Makler | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 13.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% |
| Pike Williams | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 25.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.