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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.33vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.64+4.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+3.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+2.47vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-2.05+9.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46+4.75vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.67+4.61vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.34+2.00vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.34+6.48vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.46+0.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+2.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+0.31vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-2.22+1.92vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-3.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.60+1.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.14-1.58vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-3.22+2.76vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.89+0.29vs Predicted
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20-2.11-5.04vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-2.04-5.98vs Predicted
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22University of California at Davis-2.81-3.12vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64-5.06vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley-1.55-12.06vs Predicted
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25Santa Clara University-3.08-4.76vs Predicted
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26San Diego State University-1.87-11.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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3.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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7.93University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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7.41University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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15.0California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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11.75University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.61San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at San Diego-1.340.0%1st Place
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16.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.340.0%1st Place
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11.48Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.460.0%1st Place
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14.93University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
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13.31University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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15.92University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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11.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
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17.95University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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20.76Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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19.29California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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14.96-2.110.0%1st Place
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15.02San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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18.88University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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17.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
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20.24Santa Clara University-3.080.0%1st Place
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14.44San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 24.9% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 22.0% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Briar | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| Liam Williams | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Annika Burns | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nate Powers | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 22.5% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% |
| Tony Gao | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| James Makler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.8% |
| Pike Williams | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 18.6% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.