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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine-2.14+14.07vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+4.38vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-1.55+7.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-2.74vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-1.67+5.39vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.46+3.00vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.34+1.49vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.28+10.31vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+3.01vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-2.04+2.70vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.64-5.51vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-2.05+0.46vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.64+2.52vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.87-2.45vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80+1.37vs Predicted
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18-2.11-3.26vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.89-0.14vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.74-7.49vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.22-5.55vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University-3.08-2.41vs Predicted
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23Arizona State University-3.22-2.79vs Predicted
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24University of California at San Diego-2.60-6.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at Davis-2.81-6.52vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-14.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.07University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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3.59University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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7.38University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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11.72University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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12.39San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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11.0University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at San Diego-1.340.0%1st Place
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20.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.280.0%1st Place
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14.01University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
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14.7San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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14.46California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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17.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.640.0%1st Place
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13.55San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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18.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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14.74-2.110.0%1st Place
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18.86California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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12.51University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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19.59Santa Clara University-3.080.0%1st Place
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20.21Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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17.12University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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18.48University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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11.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Colin Olson | 21.2% | 20.0% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caden Domingo | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 24.3% | 23.1% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Parker | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 20.6% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Lisle | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Pike Williams | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Tony Gao | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 10.0% |
| Liam Williams | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Stank | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 18.1% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 18.6% |
| Nate Powers | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% |
| James Makler | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% |
| Annika Burns | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.