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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+2.39vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.64+5.50vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+0.18vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-2.04+9.97vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-2.05+8.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-2.22+7.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.99+5.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.46+1.78vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.87+3.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+1.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55-5.01vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-2.60+4.03vs Predicted
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14-2.11+0.43vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.67-2.99vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.34-5.60vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-2.14-2.49vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley-1.55-6.53vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.89-0.65vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-2.81-2.40vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.89-2.46vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80-4.10vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.28-2.85vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-3.22-4.36vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.98-6.10vs Predicted
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26Santa Clara University-3.08-6.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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7.5University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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13.97San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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13.76California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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7.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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14.85University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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13.47University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
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10.78University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.06San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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12.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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6.99University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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17.03University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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14.43-2.110.0%1st Place
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12.01San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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10.4University of California at San Diego-1.340.0%1st Place
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14.51University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.47University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
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18.35California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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17.6University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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18.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.890.0%1st Place
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17.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
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20.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.280.0%1st Place
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19.64Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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18.9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.980.0%1st Place
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19.72Santa Clara University-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Olson | 23.3% | 20.4% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 25.0% | 22.2% | 17.6% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Caden Domingo | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Alex Bussey | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Liam Williams | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Maggie McEachen | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nate Powers | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Tony Gao | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% |
| James Makler | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% |
| Isaac Ericsson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Liam Parker | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.4% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 16.2% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.