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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
26
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.20vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.64+5.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.81+14.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.34+5.21vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.67+6.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.59-0.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.74+4.13vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-2.05+4.89vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.55-3.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-1.46-0.24vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-2.04+2.24vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.89+5.40vs Predicted
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14-2.11+0.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.55-3.58vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-3.22+3.94vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.28+3.21vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.87-4.98vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-2.14-4.55vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-2.22-5.42vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-7.18vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.60-5.07vs Predicted
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23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.89-4.68vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University-3.08-5.04vs Predicted
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25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.98-6.07vs Predicted
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26Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.80-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.3%1st Place
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7.47University of California at Berkeley-0.640.1%1st Place
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3.4University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.2%1st Place
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18.01University of California at Davis-2.810.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at San Diego-1.340.0%1st Place
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12.06San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Santa Cruz-0.590.1%1st Place
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12.13University of California at Los Angeles-1.740.0%1st Place
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13.89California State University Monterey Bay-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.550.1%1st Place
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10.76University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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14.24San Diego State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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18.4California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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14.35-2.110.0%1st Place
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11.42University of California at Berkeley-1.550.0%1st Place
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19.94Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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20.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-3.280.0%1st Place
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13.02San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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14.45University of California at Irvine-2.140.0%1st Place
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14.58University of California at Irvine-2.220.0%1st Place
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13.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.0%1st Place
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16.93University of California at San Diego-2.600.0%1st Place
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18.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.890.0%1st Place
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18.96Santa Clara University-3.080.0%1st Place
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18.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.980.0%1st Place
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18.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 25.9% | 21.2% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Lisle | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 21.9% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Makler | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% |
| Maximus Suh | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Caden Domingo | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Williams | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Phoebe Liermann | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Maggie McEachen | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% |
| Tony Gao | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% |
| Liam Parker | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 16.8% |
| Joshua Barraza | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Emre Gurdal | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Nate Powers | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Isaac Ericsson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% |
| Luca Kennedy | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.5% |
| Gabriel Peralta | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Alejandro Fernandez | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.