Race 11B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mats Braaten 26.0% 21.1% 18.1% 14.1% 9.4% 6.3% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stefano Palamara 15.0% 16.7% 16.1% 14.6% 11.9% 9.8% 6.5% 5.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Kuzloski 25.9% 23.5% 19.5% 14.0% 7.8% 4.6% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William Roberts 6.5% 6.9% 7.3% 9.6% 10.8% 11.9% 11.2% 10.4% 8.5% 6.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 2.2% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 7.2% 8.2% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 10.5% 9.3% 7.2% 6.5% 4.0% 2.6% 0.6%
Kristen McDonough 2.5% 2.2% 4.0% 5.4% 6.9% 7.1% 7.1% 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 9.2% 8.9% 6.7% 5.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Nathaniel Adams 3.1% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 6.7% 9.7% 9.6% 10.3% 9.7% 9.6% 9.7% 8.1% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.3%
Advik Eswaran 7.8% 9.8% 11.6% 11.6% 13.8% 11.1% 11.9% 8.3% 6.0% 3.7% 2.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Faranetta 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.5% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 7.8% 8.3% 9.5% 9.3% 9.8% 9.3% 8.1% 5.5% 2.4%
Nicholas Gould 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.6% 4.5% 4.7% 5.5% 6.2% 9.2% 9.1% 9.8% 10.3% 11.2% 8.6% 8.2% 4.2%
Isabella Hughes 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 4.7% 4.5% 4.8% 7.1% 8.5% 8.1% 9.4% 10.7% 12.5% 12.2% 6.8%
George Wood 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 9.5% 9.5% 10.5% 10.0% 9.2% 7.2% 2.8%
Sam Randall 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 6.9% 7.3% 8.8% 9.0% 10.1% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.5%
Ella Dieterlen 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 3.1% 4.5% 4.0% 5.9% 7.5% 8.6% 11.8% 18.5% 27.2%
Andrew Shaz 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.9% 5.7% 9.7% 11.0% 17.6% 34.0%
Gianmarco Costa 1.1% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 4.0% 5.6% 6.3% 7.8% 10.4% 14.9% 16.4% 18.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.