Race 5B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johnny Norfleet 34.3% 27.9% 17.4% 9.8% 5.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 7.8% 10.3% 12.9% 14.2% 13.1% 15.1% 10.6% 8.6% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Randall Hartranft 21.1% 20.1% 17.2% 15.8% 11.4% 8.6% 3.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.9% 7.1% 8.9% 10.5% 11.8% 14.5% 14.6% 12.8% 8.3% 4.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Boger 10.2% 10.1% 15.0% 11.9% 16.1% 11.8% 12.1% 6.6% 3.6% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Legge 4.2% 5.0% 7.9% 7.5% 9.8% 11.7% 15.0% 16.2% 12.7% 7.6% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Douglas Zangre 3.8% 4.4% 5.5% 6.2% 8.0% 10.6% 12.5% 15.6% 16.2% 10.6% 5.0% 1.6% 0.0%
Joe Franco 0.6% 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 4.1% 5.7% 9.7% 16.4% 28.9% 25.0% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.6% 1.4% 1.2% 2.9% 2.4% 4.1% 7.3% 10.4% 16.3% 23.8% 19.1% 9.5% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 9.6% 11.3% 9.9% 15.1% 15.0% 13.8% 10.6% 8.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Hunter Snyder 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.8% 3.1% 6.2% 8.8% 20.7% 54.7% 0.0%
Lucas Holmes 1.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.8% 3.0% 3.1% 7.2% 10.4% 16.6% 22.4% 21.0% 8.8% 0.0%
Joe Franco 0.6% 0.3% 1.3% 2.4% 2.8% 2.8% 4.1% 5.7% 9.7% 16.4% 28.9% 25.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.