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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine0.27+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.10+3.64vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.08vs Predicted
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5San Diego State University-0.19+1.10vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.49-1.85vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.68+3.23vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands-2.04+3.32vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University-1.12-0.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara-1.32-0.64vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.60-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-1.89-1.86vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.45-1.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.20-10.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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5.64University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.63California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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6.1San Diego State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.490.2%1st Place
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10.23Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.680.0%1st Place
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11.32California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
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8.69Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Santa Barbara-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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10.37University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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12.24Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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4.94University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arin Bekem | 13.0% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 18.4% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Kisling | 16.2% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 7.7% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 16.9% |
| Paul Trudell | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Shand | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.9% |
| Orion Spatafora | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 18.4% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.5% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 14.4% | 16.8% | 29.4% |
| Wilton Lawton | 11.8% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.