Race 1A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Joe Serpa 12.0% 11.6% 12.2% 11.2% 10.5% 11.1% 9.4% 8.2% 6.9% 5.1% 1.8%
Joseph Gallagher 9.0% 10.0% 10.2% 10.4% 10.5% 9.5% 9.9% 10.0% 9.6% 7.4% 3.4%
Jake Weinstein 11.5% 11.1% 13.1% 11.2% 11.2% 10.1% 10.6% 7.8% 7.2% 4.7% 1.7%
Charlie Herrick 10.4% 10.5% 9.7% 9.5% 11.2% 10.2% 9.3% 10.3% 9.5% 6.4% 2.9%
Odey Hariri 7.4% 9.8% 8.5% 9.3% 8.2% 10.2% 8.9% 11.2% 10.3% 11.5% 4.8%
Nick Myneni 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 10.0% 9.6% 10.4% 11.5% 11.8% 8.1% 4.8%
Nithya Balachander 12.7% 12.2% 10.3% 9.3% 10.1% 10.8% 10.8% 9.0% 8.0% 5.0% 1.8%
Christian Ehrnrooth 14.5% 12.2% 12.7% 13.1% 11.8% 10.0% 8.8% 7.3% 5.4% 3.4% 0.8%
Jenna Kozal 4.5% 3.9% 4.7% 4.7% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 8.3% 12.6% 23.2% 18.6%
Greg Bittle 8.3% 8.6% 8.1% 9.8% 8.6% 9.8% 9.7% 12.2% 11.2% 9.8% 4.1%
Carly Irwin 1.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.2% 2.5% 4.5% 4.2% 7.5% 15.6% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.