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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.28+2.34vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.57+1.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.48+0.85vs Predicted
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5Columbia University2.43-0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.05+3.96vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04-2.28vs Predicted
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9Queen's University1.79-2.73vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy0.54-1.09vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute1.45-4.02vs Predicted
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12Colgate University0.49-2.85vs Predicted
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13Drexel University-0.65-2.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rochester-0.05-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34SUNY Maritime College3.280.2%1st Place
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2.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.4%1st Place
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4.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.570.1%1st Place
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4.85Cornell University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.96Columbia University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.96University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
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5.72Fordham University2.040.1%1st Place
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6.27Queen's University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.91U. S. Military Academy0.540.0%1st Place
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6.98Webb Institute1.450.0%1st Place
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9.15Colgate University0.490.0%1st Place
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10.82Drexel University-0.650.0%1st Place
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9.96University of Rochester-0.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Hartranft | 18.7% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 35.8% | 27.0% | 16.3% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Boger | 11.0% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 7.6% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 13.8% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 28.9% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Legge | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 6.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Holmes | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 23.0% | 19.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Zangre | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Beals | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 15.6% | 22.7% | 21.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Snyder | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 54.0% | 0.0% |
| Joe Franco | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 28.9% | 25.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.