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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Irvine0.27+3.85vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40+0.57vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+2.75vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.19+2.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.20+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10-0.14vs Predicted
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7California State University Channel Islands-2.04+4.17vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98+3.14vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara-1.32+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+1.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.54-6.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-1.89-0.90vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University-1.12-4.10vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley-1.60-3.86vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-2.45-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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2.57Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.4%1st Place
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5.75California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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6.17San Diego State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.17University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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5.86University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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11.17California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
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11.14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Santa Barbara-1.320.0%1st Place
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11.37University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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4.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.1%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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8.9Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
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12.17Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arin Bekem | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 35.7% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| Samantha Katz | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| Nicholas Shand | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| Blake Roberts | 13.8% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.6% |
| Paul Trudell | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 18.3% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.