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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+3.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine0.27+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles-2.06+8.21vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+1.80vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.10+0.93vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.40-3.38vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.19-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.20-2.90vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.89+1.91vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.98+1.18vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.04+0.30vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University-1.12-3.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara-1.32-3.52vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-2.45-1.76vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley-1.60-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Irvine0.270.1%1st Place
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11.21University of California at Los Angeles-2.060.0%1st Place
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5.8California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.1%1st Place
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5.93University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.400.3%1st Place
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6.14San Diego State University-0.190.1%1st Place
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5.1University of California at Berkeley0.200.1%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Davis-1.890.0%1st Place
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11.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.980.0%1st Place
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11.3California State University Channel Islands-2.040.0%1st Place
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8.94Santa Clara University-1.120.0%1st Place
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9.48University of California at Santa Barbara-1.320.0%1st Place
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12.24Arizona State University-2.450.0%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Berkeley-1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 15.5% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 9.9% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Orion Spatafora | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 15.1% |
| Sam Jennings | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Headington | 32.6% | 25.5% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 10.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Melvin | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 10.6% |
| Samantha Katz | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 14.6% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.4% |
| Paul Trudell | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Nicholas Shand | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| Mason Norwood | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 29.9% |
| Bianca Weber | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.