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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.35+3.65vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.36+2.56vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+6.36vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.72+6.07vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University1.31+2.94vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.17-0.64vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.64-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.37-1.30vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.44+1.23vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.86-4.84vs Predicted
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12Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-1.50vs Predicted
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13Rollins College0.37-1.70vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.23-2.14vs Predicted
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15Florida State University2.12-9.57vs Predicted
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16Duke University-1.25-0.66vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.20-5.09vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-0.06-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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4.56College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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9.36Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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10.07University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
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7.94North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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5.36Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.95Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.7University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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11.23Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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6.16University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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10.5Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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11.3Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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11.86Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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5.43Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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15.34Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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11.91The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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12.69Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Dufour | 16.6% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 15.7% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Long | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Joe Seiffert | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 5.1% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 7.3% |
| Peter Foley | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 57.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 7.2% |
| Mason Howell | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 16.0% | 17.8% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.