← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University2.17+4.09vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University1.31+6.00vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston2.35+1.65vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.94+5.41vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College1.64+1.75vs Predicted
-
6Jacksonville University0.44+5.26vs Predicted
-
7College of Charleston2.36-2.37vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida1.86-1.93vs Predicted
-
9University of Miami0.72+1.27vs Predicted
-
10Auburn University0.23+1.72vs Predicted
-
11Florida State University2.12-5.55vs Predicted
-
12Rollins College0.37-0.69vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida1.37-5.09vs Predicted
-
14Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-3.48vs Predicted
-
15Embry-Riddle University-0.06-2.39vs Predicted
-
17Duke University-1.25-1.54vs Predicted
-
18The Citadel0.20-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
-
8.0North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
-
4.65College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
-
9.41Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
-
6.75Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
-
11.26Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
-
4.63College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
-
6.07University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
-
10.27University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
-
11.72Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.45Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
-
11.31Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.91University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
-
10.52Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
-
12.61Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
15.46Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
-
11.89The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 13.8% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Long | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
| Peter Foley | 12.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 2.2% |
| Mason Howell | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 11.8% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 59.1% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.