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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University2.17+4.08vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.86+4.03vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.94+6.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.35+0.79vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.36-0.43vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.64+1.08vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.37+0.86vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University1.31-0.09vs Predicted
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9Florida State University2.12-3.50vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.44+0.98vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.30+0.59vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.72-1.97vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-0.06-0.28vs Predicted
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14Auburn University0.23-2.17vs Predicted
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15The Citadel0.20-3.22vs Predicted
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16Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-5.56vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.25-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.03University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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9.34Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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4.79College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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4.57College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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7.08Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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7.91North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.5Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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10.98Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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11.59Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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10.03University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
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12.72Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.83Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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11.78The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.44Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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15.46Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Bannasch | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 16.4% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Usher | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 9.5% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joe Seiffert | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 3.3% |
| Jackson McGeough | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Nathan Long | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Mason Howell | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 18.3% | 12.5% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 6.2% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 6.6% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.