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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.86+5.06vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.17+3.11vs Predicted
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3Florida State University2.12+2.34vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston2.36+0.72vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.94+4.24vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.44+5.18vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.72+3.08vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.35-3.32vs Predicted
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9Auburn University0.23+2.87vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.31-2.07vs Predicted
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11The Citadel0.20+0.94vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.64-5.11vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-2.55vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.37-6.04vs Predicted
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15Embry-Riddle University-0.06-2.43vs Predicted
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16Rollins College0.30-4.45vs Predicted
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17Duke University-1.25-1.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.11Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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5.34Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.72College of Charleston2.360.1%1st Place
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9.24Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.18Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
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4.68College of Charleston2.350.2%1st Place
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11.87Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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7.93North Carolina State University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.94The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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6.89Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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10.45Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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7.96University of South Florida1.370.1%1st Place
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12.57Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.55Rollins College0.300.0%1st Place
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15.44Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 13.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Foley | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 15.0% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Nathan Long | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 5.6% |
| Benjamin Usher | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kenneth Buck | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 7.1% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Humberto Porrata | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Mason Howell | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 11.8% |
| Jackson McGeough | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.