Race 7B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johnny Norfleet 33.9% 27.9% 17.4% 11.2% 5.6% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Randall Hartranft 19.1% 21.1% 18.2% 15.2% 12.4% 7.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 11.0% 10.2% 12.7% 13.1% 14.0% 15.1% 11.9% 8.1% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.2% 7.3% 8.5% 12.2% 10.3% 14.3% 13.9% 13.8% 10.2% 4.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.1% 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 4.3% 6.0% 12.5% 16.7% 27.2% 17.7% 5.9% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 9.5% 9.4% 10.9% 12.0% 15.4% 13.1% 13.0% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colleen Blanton 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.9% 3.8% 8.5% 20.2% 61.6% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 5.1% 5.4% 7.4% 8.5% 10.5% 11.7% 12.5% 16.3% 14.2% 6.5% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Legge 4.0% 5.1% 7.3% 8.2% 11.5% 12.9% 15.5% 15.0% 14.1% 5.3% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 9.8% 9.8% 13.4% 13.8% 13.0% 13.2% 12.7% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Holmes 1.5% 1.2% 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 4.2% 6.6% 8.8% 21.7% 28.4% 17.0% 4.2% 0.0%
Hunter Snyder 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 2.1% 3.5% 5.7% 15.0% 41.1% 28.3% 0.0%
Colleen Blanton 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.9% 3.8% 8.5% 20.2% 61.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.