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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University1.19+4.11vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.99+3.60vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.12+2.08vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.14+1.41vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.92+1.04vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University0.80+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago1.33-2.54vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.27-2.91vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas0.88-3.03vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.12-2.13vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Indiana University1.1911.8%1st Place
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5.6University of Notre Dame0.999.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Michigan1.1212.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Wisconsin1.1411.0%1st Place
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6.04Purdue University0.927.6%1st Place
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6.01Michigan Technological University0.807.6%1st Place
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4.46University of Chicago1.3317.4%1st Place
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5.09Northwestern University1.2710.8%1st Place
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5.97University of Saint Thomas0.887.1%1st Place
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7.87Marquette University-0.123.3%1st Place
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9.37Grand Valley State University-0.852.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 3.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.0% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Charlie Herrick | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% |
| Nick Myneni | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 4.3% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 17.4% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jake Weinstein | 10.8% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 4.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 20.8% | 20.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 54.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.