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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.31+6.85vs Predicted
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2Florida State University2.12+3.31vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.35+1.78vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.86+1.08vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.64+1.12vs Predicted
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7Auburn University0.23+4.77vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.36-3.29vs Predicted
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9The Citadel0.20+3.06vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.72+0.10vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.94-1.51vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.44-0.88vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64-2.49vs Predicted
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14Embry-Riddle University-0.06-1.19vs Predicted
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15Duke University-1.25+0.37vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.56-8.76vs Predicted
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18Rollins College0.37-6.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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5.31Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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4.78College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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5.31Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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6.08University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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7.12Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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11.77Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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4.71College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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12.06The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
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9.49Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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11.12Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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10.51Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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12.81Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.37Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
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7.24University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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11.38Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Usher | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Foley | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 12.6% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.6% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Monahan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 5.8% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 16.0% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 8.0% |
| Nathan Long | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Matthew King | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Joe Seiffert | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 3.8% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 2.2% |
| Mason Howell | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 13.8% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 14.6% | 57.7% |
| Efe Guder | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.