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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Florida State University2.12+4.22vs Predicted
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2Auburn University0.23+9.73vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.86+3.23vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.17+1.35vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.36-0.38vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.94+3.56vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.35-2.32vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.64-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.56-1.66vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University0.64+0.39vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.31-2.84vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.37-0.72vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.72-2.74vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.44-2.77vs Predicted
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16Embry-Riddle University-0.06-3.33vs Predicted
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17The Citadel0.20-5.05vs Predicted
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18Duke University-1.25-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Florida State University2.120.1%1st Place
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11.73Auburn University0.230.0%1st Place
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6.23University of South Florida1.860.1%1st Place
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5.35Jacksonville University2.170.1%1st Place
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4.62College of Charleston2.360.2%1st Place
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9.56Jacksonville University0.940.0%1st Place
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4.68College of Charleston2.350.1%1st Place
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6.84Eckerd College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida1.560.1%1st Place
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10.39Palm Beach Atlantic University0.640.0%1st Place
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8.16North Carolina State University1.310.1%1st Place
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11.28Rollins College0.370.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Miami0.720.0%1st Place
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11.23Jacksonville University0.440.0%1st Place
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12.67Embry-Riddle University-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.95The Citadel0.200.0%1st Place
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15.51Duke University-1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Foley | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bridget Monahan | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 5.9% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 12.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jonnie Ciffolillo | 15.5% | 16.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew King | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 13.6% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 8.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Efe Guder | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dawson Kohl | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Benjamin Usher | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Hilton Kamps | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 4.6% |
| Nathan Long | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Joe Seiffert | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 3.9% |
| Mason Howell | 0.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 20.5% | 10.7% |
| Kenneth Buck | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 7.2% |
| Jack Wigmore | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.