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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida1.51+5.17vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+3.82vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+2.73vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.91+0.73vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.42+4.68vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.43+3.76vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.32-0.39vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.05-0.52vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.85-0.77vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston1.49-3.73vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.42-1.11vs Predicted
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12Auburn University-0.06-0.35vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.60-0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.93+2.02vs Predicted
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15Rollins College1.24-8.16vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.71-2.51vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.91vs Predicted
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18Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.82Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.73Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
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9.68Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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7.48College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
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8.23Jacksonville University0.850.0%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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9.89Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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11.65Auburn University-0.060.0%1st Place
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12.98The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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16.02University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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6.84Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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13.49Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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14.09Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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15.56Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 16.0% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| David Webb | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Isabel Smith | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 10.2% | 6.2% |
| Rain Hong | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 42.4% |
| Milo Miller | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 6.9% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 10.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 24.9% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.