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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.05+6.68vs Predicted
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2Florida State University0.42+7.98vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.61+2.87vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+1.60vs Predicted
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6Rollins College1.24+0.90vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.62-1.32vs Predicted
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8Auburn University-0.06+3.21vs Predicted
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9Embry-Riddle University-1.66+6.65vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.42+0.04vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University1.91-6.08vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.60+1.36vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.82vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.85-5.94vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.49-9.00vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.43-6.22vs Predicted
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17Duke University-0.71-3.52vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.93-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
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9.98Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.87Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.92University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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6.9Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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5.68Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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11.21Auburn University-0.060.0%1st Place
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15.65Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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10.04Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
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4.92North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
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13.36The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.82Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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8.06Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.0College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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9.78University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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13.48Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.05University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 10.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 24.4% | 31.6% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 15.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 6.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 18.6% | 14.9% | 10.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 18.3% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 22.5% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.