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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+3.97vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.05+5.70vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida1.51+1.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+1.58vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University1.61-0.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.49-0.95vs Predicted
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8Duke University-0.71+5.29vs Predicted
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9Florida State University0.42+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.43-0.10vs Predicted
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11Auburn University-0.06+0.45vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.42-1.91vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University0.85-4.91vs Predicted
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14Rollins College1.24-7.29vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.60-1.91vs Predicted
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16Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-1.93vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.24vs Predicted
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18University of Central Florida-1.93-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97North Carolina State University1.910.1%1st Place
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7.7College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
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5.84Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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6.58University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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5.72Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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6.05College of Charleston1.490.1%1st Place
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13.29Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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9.74Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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11.45Auburn University-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.09Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.09Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.71Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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13.09The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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14.07Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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15.76Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 13.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 9.2% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Allen | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 13.8% | 5.9% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| David Webb | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 5.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 11.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 25.9% | 33.5% |
| Rain Hong | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 22.8% | 41.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.