← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Jacksonville University1.61+4.09vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College1.62+3.03vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida1.51+2.43vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University0.42+5.00vs Predicted
-
5North Carolina State University1.91-0.75vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston1.05+1.02vs Predicted
-
7Florida State University0.42+2.00vs Predicted
-
8Rollins College1.24-1.84vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida1.32-2.79vs Predicted
-
10University of Miami0.14-0.15vs Predicted
-
11Duke University-0.71+1.51vs Predicted
-
12Auburn University-0.06-1.52vs Predicted
-
13Jacksonville University0.85-5.28vs Predicted
-
14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-0.86vs Predicted
-
15University of Central Florida-1.93+0.13vs Predicted
-
16The Citadel-0.60-3.80vs Predicted
-
17Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.09Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
-
5.03Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.43University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
-
9.0Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
-
4.25North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
-
7.02College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
-
9.0Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
-
6.16Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
-
6.21University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
-
9.85University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
-
12.51Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
-
10.48Auburn University-0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.72Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
-
13.14Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
-
15.13University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.2The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
-
14.78Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Igoe | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 12.1% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.0% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 17.7% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 7.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher McCollum | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 14.0% | 6.7% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 18.0% | 10.6% |
| Rain Hong | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 20.7% | 43.7% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 5.7% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 25.5% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.