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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rollins College1.24+5.11vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.71+10.41vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.51+2.45vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.91+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+0.96vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-0.71vs Predicted
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7Florida State University0.42+1.96vs Predicted
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8University of Miami0.14+1.70vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.05-2.00vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University1.61-4.89vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.85-3.31vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.93+3.19vs Predicted
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13Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+0.11vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.42-4.85vs Predicted
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15The Citadel-0.60-2.91vs Predicted
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16Auburn University-0.06-5.45vs Predicted
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17Embry-Riddle University-1.66-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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12.41Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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5.45University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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4.45North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
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5.96University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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5.29Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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8.96Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Miami0.140.0%1st Place
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7.0College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
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5.11Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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7.69Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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15.19University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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9.15Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
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12.09The Citadel-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.55Auburn University-0.060.0%1st Place
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14.76Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milo Miller | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 5.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 15.8% | 15.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 12.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher McCollum | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.1% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 44.5% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 10.6% |
| Patrick Barney | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 4.6% |
| Isabel Smith | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.3% | 23.3% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.