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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.91+3.23vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.51+3.37vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College1.62+2.12vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.61+1.21vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.32+0.83vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.85+1.57vs Predicted
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7Rollins College1.24-0.78vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University0.42+0.63vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+3.93vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.66+4.43vs Predicted
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11Florida State University0.42-2.17vs Predicted
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12University of Miami0.43-3.33vs Predicted
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13The Citadel-0.85-0.49vs Predicted
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14University of Central Florida-1.93+1.02vs Predicted
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15-1.20-1.63vs Predicted
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16Duke University-0.71-3.83vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston1.05-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
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5.37University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.12Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.21Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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5.83University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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7.57Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.22Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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8.63Jacksonville University0.420.1%1st Place
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12.93Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.43Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.83Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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12.51The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
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15.02University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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13.37-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.17Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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6.89College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gosselin | 16.4% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 11.7% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 13.3% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 9.5% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 5.1% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Hjort | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 8.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 21.8% | 25.4% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| David Webb | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Luke Pennisi | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 7.1% |
| Rain Hong | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 20.2% | 40.7% |
| Gavin Dow | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 18.3% | 17.8% | 12.6% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Griffin Beaulieu | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.