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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.05+5.68vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.61+3.07vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.91+1.29vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.42+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.51+0.26vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College1.62-0.79vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.32-1.01vs Predicted
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8Florida State University0.42+0.67vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.24-2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Miami0.43-1.30vs Predicted
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11Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94+1.84vs Predicted
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12University of Central Florida-1.93+2.98vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.66+1.40vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University0.85-6.39vs Predicted
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15Duke University-0.71-2.92vs Predicted
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16-1.20-2.50vs Predicted
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17The Citadel-0.85-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68College of Charleston1.050.1%1st Place
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5.07Jacksonville University1.610.1%1st Place
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4.29North Carolina State University1.910.2%1st Place
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8.79Jacksonville University0.420.0%1st Place
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5.26University of South Florida1.510.1%1st Place
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5.21Eckerd College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.99University of South Florida1.320.1%1st Place
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8.67Florida State University0.420.0%1st Place
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6.34Rollins College1.240.1%1st Place
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8.7University of Miami0.430.0%1st Place
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12.84Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.0%1st Place
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14.98University of Central Florida-1.930.0%1st Place
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14.4Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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7.61Jacksonville University0.850.1%1st Place
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12.08Duke University-0.710.0%1st Place
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13.5-1.200.0%1st Place
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12.58The Citadel-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Beaulieu | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 16.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Barney | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pj Rodrigues | 12.8% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Weatherilt | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Webb | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Hjort | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 16.3% | 15.2% | 8.5% |
| Rain Hong | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 39.0% |
| Timothy Dolan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 27.0% |
| Stefanos Pappas | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zhaohui Harry Ding | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Gavin Dow | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 13.1% |
| Luke Pennisi | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.2% | 11.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.