Race 8B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Randall Hartranft 18.8% 19.7% 17.1% 17.2% 12.1% 7.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 4.3% 7.5% 8.9% 9.2% 12.6% 13.9% 14.5% 14.8% 9.4% 4.2% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Legge 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 8.8% 9.9% 11.1% 15.8% 16.1% 14.7% 5.8% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Johnny Norfleet 37.2% 24.5% 17.9% 9.8% 6.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 4.3% 5.5% 6.6% 7.0% 10.2% 13.9% 14.0% 16.7% 12.8% 6.7% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.5% 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 6.0% 9.0% 17.9% 31.0% 16.8% 4.3% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 9.5% 10.5% 11.7% 14.5% 13.5% 13.5% 11.8% 8.7% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 10.7% 12.7% 12.0% 12.7% 14.8% 12.3% 10.7% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 6.9% 10.4% 15.4% 13.7% 12.7% 14.8% 11.8% 8.2% 4.4% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucas Holmes 1.0% 2.0% 2.3% 3.4% 2.7% 4.4% 6.4% 10.0% 20.1% 27.7% 16.6% 3.4% 0.0%
Hunter Snyder 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.9% 7.8% 13.4% 40.6% 29.2% 0.0%
Colleen Blanton 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 7.5% 20.8% 63.0% 0.0%
Colleen Blanton 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 7.5% 20.8% 63.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.