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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.27+3.96vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+3.99vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.14+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.12+1.04vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University0.96+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.33-1.46vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.92-1.14vs Predicted
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8Indiana University1.19-2.90vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame0.99-3.44vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.12-2.16vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.96Northwestern University1.2712.7%1st Place
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5.99University of Saint Thomas0.887.6%1st Place
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5.56University of Wisconsin1.1410.7%1st Place
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5.04University of Michigan1.1212.3%1st Place
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6.18Michigan Technological University0.967.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Chicago1.3314.2%1st Place
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5.86Purdue University0.927.8%1st Place
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5.1Indiana University1.1911.7%1st Place
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5.56University of Notre Dame0.9910.2%1st Place
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7.84Marquette University-0.123.8%1st Place
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9.38Grand Valley State University-0.851.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 12.7% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 14.2% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 7.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 14.6% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.