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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.19+1.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina-0.73+0.65vs Predicted
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3Davidson College-2.63+1.52vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University-0.05-2.02vs Predicted
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5Vanderbilt University-2.09-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.91-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16North Carolina State University-0.190.3%1st Place
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2.65University of South Carolina-0.730.2%1st Place
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4.52Davidson College-2.630.0%1st Place
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1.98Wake Forest University-0.050.4%1st Place
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4.1Vanderbilt University-2.090.0%1st Place
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5.59University of North Carolina at Wilmington-3.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika Milstien | 32.6% | 32.7% | 22.6% | 10.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 19.9% | 23.8% | 32.7% | 19.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Jim Wang | 3.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 23.4% | 45.4% | 16.2% |
| Quinn Healey | 39.5% | 30.5% | 23.9% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Johnson | 4.4% | 7.1% | 12.1% | 36.0% | 31.6% | 8.8% |
| Anna Pederson | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 6.6% | 15.8% | 74.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.