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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+0.31vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University-3.30+2.78vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina-2.68+0.92vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.48-0.31vs Predicted
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5Davidson College-2.28-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-3.42-1.01vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-4.25-1.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31North Carolina State University-0.050.8%1st Place
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4.78Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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3.92University of South Carolina-2.680.1%1st Place
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3.69University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.480.1%1st Place
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3.4Davidson College-2.280.1%1st Place
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4.99University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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5.9Vanderbilt University-4.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 75.4% | 19.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.6% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 15.0% |
| Tyler Williams | 5.7% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 22.7% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 4.8% |
| Tonya Hakim | 5.1% | 21.6% | 21.4% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Genovese | 7.5% | 25.3% | 24.2% | 18.7% | 14.0% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Megan Miller | 2.5% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 19.5% | 25.8% | 20.2% |
| Tiffany Ngigi | 1.2% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 17.9% | 53.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.