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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.48+1.61vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University-3.30+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-2.68-0.02vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-3.42-0.03vs Predicted
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6Davidson College-2.28-2.64vs Predicted
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7Vanderbilt University-4.25-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32North Carolina State University-0.050.8%1st Place
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3.61University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.480.1%1st Place
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4.84Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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3.98University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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4.97University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
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3.36Davidson College-2.280.1%1st Place
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5.91Vanderbilt University-4.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 75.2% | 19.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Tonya Hakim | 6.0% | 21.5% | 23.8% | 19.0% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 3.1% |
| Charles Palmer | 3.5% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 24.3% | 17.5% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.5% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 22.3% | 19.8% | 13.3% | 5.1% |
| Megan Miller | 2.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 27.0% | 19.2% |
| Oliver Genovese | 8.3% | 23.6% | 26.0% | 18.9% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Tiffany Ngigi | 1.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 53.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.