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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University-0.05+0.31vs Predicted
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2Wake Forest University-3.30+2.82vs Predicted
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3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.48+0.66vs Predicted
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4University of South Carolina-2.68-0.05vs Predicted
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5Davidson College-2.28-1.61vs Predicted
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6Vanderbilt University-4.25+0.02vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-3.42-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.31North Carolina State University-0.050.8%1st Place
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4.82Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
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3.66University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.480.1%1st Place
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3.95University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
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3.39Davidson College-2.280.1%1st Place
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6.02Vanderbilt University-4.250.0%1st Place
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4.85University of North Carolina-3.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Hannah | 76.4% | 18.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Palmer | 2.6% | 7.3% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 24.0% | 15.9% |
| Tonya Hakim | 6.7% | 18.2% | 24.3% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 10.8% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Williams | 3.4% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 6.2% |
| Oliver Genovese | 7.3% | 25.1% | 23.3% | 21.2% | 13.6% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Tiffany Ngigi | 0.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 56.3% |
| Megan Miller | 2.7% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 19.1% | 27.4% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.