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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.45+7.13vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.07+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.99+7.04vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.52+3.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.17+0.40vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.79+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii0.51+4.05vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-1.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.23vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.28vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.36-0.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.36-4.17vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-3.48vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.32+0.17vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-2.77vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.01-3.04vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.83-6.43vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-0.67-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Dartmouth College1.456.3%1st Place
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5.26Stanford University2.0712.0%1st Place
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10.04University of South Florida0.994.0%1st Place
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7.94Old Dominion University1.525.9%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.1712.8%1st Place
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6.56Cornell University1.799.7%1st Place
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11.05University of Hawaii0.512.5%1st Place
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6.41Bowdoin College1.8410.2%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.9%1st Place
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10.28University of Pennsylvania1.163.7%1st Place
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10.99University of Wisconsin0.363.0%1st Place
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7.83Boston College1.366.9%1st Place
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9.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.924.5%1st Place
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14.17Fordham University-0.321.4%1st Place
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12.23Boston University0.372.2%1st Place
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12.96North Carolina State University0.011.8%1st Place
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10.57St. Mary's College of Maryland0.833.5%1st Place
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14.9University of Texas-0.670.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 12.0% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kalea Woodard | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Marina Conde | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.8% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% |
| Marissa Tegeder | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 24.9% |
| Lucy Paskoff | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 13.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| Kate Lyon | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.