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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.14+4.41vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.88+3.96vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.27+2.06vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.12+1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.99+0.57vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago1.33-1.53vs Predicted
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7Indiana University1.19-1.94vs Predicted
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8Purdue University0.92-2.07vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University0.96-2.83vs Predicted
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10Marquette University-0.12-2.12vs Predicted
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11Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41University of Wisconsin1.149.7%1st Place
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5.96University of Saint Thomas0.888.6%1st Place
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5.06Northwestern University1.2712.6%1st Place
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5.06University of Michigan1.1212.2%1st Place
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5.57University of Notre Dame0.999.7%1st Place
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4.47University of Chicago1.3314.0%1st Place
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5.06Indiana University1.1912.6%1st Place
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5.93Purdue University0.928.0%1st Place
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6.17Michigan Technological University0.967.4%1st Place
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7.88Marquette University-0.123.6%1st Place
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9.41Grand Valley State University-0.851.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Greg Bittle | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Jake Weinstein | 12.6% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 1.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Joseph Gallagher | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Christian Ehrnrooth | 14.0% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Nithya Balachander | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Odey Hariri | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Andrew Michels | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 5.0% |
| Jenna Kozal | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 23.2% | 19.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 56.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.