Race 9B

maisa-north-1-qualifier

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Johnny Norfleet 35.2% 26.8% 18.9% 8.9% 5.2% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Boger 8.1% 12.6% 14.3% 13.7% 13.9% 12.2% 13.1% 6.8% 4.3% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Randall Hartranft 21.1% 20.0% 16.9% 15.2% 12.4% 7.8% 4.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 7.6% 10.3% 12.9% 14.8% 13.1% 12.9% 12.5% 9.7% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Colleen Blanton 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.6% 8.6% 22.1% 61.4% 0.0%
Irene Jacqz 9.5% 9.6% 10.3% 13.1% 14.7% 14.5% 10.2% 10.8% 5.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Reynolds 6.2% 7.3% 8.5% 10.4% 11.5% 12.8% 15.0% 14.2% 8.9% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Charles Legge 5.1% 4.9% 7.7% 8.3% 9.0% 12.9% 14.4% 16.1% 13.1% 6.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Dylan Froriep 4.0% 4.8% 6.4% 9.4% 11.8% 13.8% 13.3% 17.5% 13.0% 5.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Morgan Beals 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 3.3% 3.7% 3.3% 5.4% 10.0% 19.6% 28.2% 17.7% 4.0% 0.0%
Lucas Holmes 1.8% 1.1% 1.4% 1.7% 2.9% 4.8% 6.7% 7.8% 21.7% 28.0% 17.6% 4.5% 0.0%
Hunter Snyder 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.3% 2.0% 3.4% 6.4% 15.3% 38.8% 29.5% 0.0%
Colleen Blanton 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.6% 1.4% 2.6% 8.6% 22.1% 61.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.