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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands0.42+4.89vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University1.23+1.74vs Predicted
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3Arizona State University0.64+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.65+1.13vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.10+1.72vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.16+4.25vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79+5.56vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.72+0.74vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-0.66-0.37vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.70+2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.48-3.12vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.45-0.35vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.38-1.77vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz0.06-8.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-2.42-0.15vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.78-0.05vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-1.93-3.54vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-3.21-0.79vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-3.00-2.34vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-2.58-4.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89California State University Channel Islands0.420.1%1st Place
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3.74San Diego State University1.230.2%1st Place
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5.14Arizona State University0.640.1%1st Place
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5.13University of California at Santa Cruz0.650.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at San Diego-0.100.1%1st Place
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11.25Arizona State University-1.160.0%1st Place
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13.56Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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9.74University of California at Davis-0.720.0%1st Place
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9.63University of California at Irvine-0.660.0%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Irvine-1.700.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Washington-0.480.0%1st Place
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12.65San Diego State University-1.450.0%1st Place
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12.23University of California at Los Angeles-1.380.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at Santa Cruz0.060.1%1st Place
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15.85University of California at San Diego-2.420.0%1st Place
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16.95California State University Channel Islands-2.780.0%1st Place
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14.46San Diego State University-1.930.0%1st Place
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18.21University of California at San Diego-3.210.0%1st Place
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17.66University of California at San Diego-3.000.0%1st Place
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16.27University of California at Los Angeles-2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sterling Maggard | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 21.0% | 18.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Casal | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 12.0% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Soliman | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchel Sanford | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Down | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Camden Wacha | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Nathaniel Holden | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nikita Swatek | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nejan Gunawardena | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Jaden Unruh | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| julian stauffer | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Conrad Kistler | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Isaac Sharp | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Horn | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 16.5% |
| Owen LaGuardia | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.3% |
| Diana Vins | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 32.7% |
| Sophia Pless | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 24.6% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.