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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+2.94vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.71+5.64vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University-1.87+9.43vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33+2.35vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.75+2.95vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands-2.08+7.36vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.42-2.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles-1.22+1.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-1.82+3.05vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.64+1.39vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-1.52-0.28vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.53-0.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-9.51vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-2.43+0.57vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.89+1.08vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-3.43+1.89vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-1.28vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.52-2.74vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.07-5.84vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.46-9.36vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-2.27-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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7.64University of California at San Diego-0.710.1%1st Place
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12.43San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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7.95Arizona State University-0.750.1%1st Place
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13.36California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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9.46University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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12.05University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.39San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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11.01San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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3.49University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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14.57University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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16.08California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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17.89University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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15.72University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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15.26Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
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13.16Arizona State University-2.070.0%1st Place
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10.64University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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13.7University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Roberts | 19.1% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Hunter Holguin | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 17.2% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Buster Baylis | 21.9% | 18.9% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 6.5% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.9% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 16.8% | 37.5% |
| Luke Graham | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.9% |
| Elias Ricken | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.