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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.42vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.42+1.09vs Predicted
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4Arizona State University-0.90+4.16vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine-1.52+5.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.71+1.70vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.46+3.29vs Predicted
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8San Diego State University-1.53+2.48vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.64+2.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.82+1.92vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University-1.87+0.92vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine-2.27+1.77vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.08+0.03vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-4.68vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-8.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-0.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.43-2.77vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-3.22-0.70vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.89-2.97vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-3.43-2.31vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.52-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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3.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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4.09University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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8.16Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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10.68University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.7University of California at San Diego-0.710.1%1st Place
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10.29University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.48San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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11.05San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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11.92University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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11.92San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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13.77University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
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13.03California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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9.32University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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6.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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15.44University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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14.23University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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17.3Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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16.03California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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17.69University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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14.41Arizona State University-2.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 23.2% | 21.3% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 19.0% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.2% |
| Brent Lin | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Graham | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 24.8% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.1% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.3% | 32.0% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.