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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.42+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+1.89vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+0.32vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.71+3.43vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.46+5.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.82+6.01vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-0.90+1.02vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-3.22+8.73vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands-2.08+3.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-2.27+3.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-4.88vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.53-1.32vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-2.89+2.96vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-4.64vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-1.87-3.23vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.52-5.44vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-2.96-0.98vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-2.43-3.57vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-3.58vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-3.43-2.34vs Predicted
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21San Diego State University-1.64-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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3.32University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego-0.710.0%1st Place
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10.46University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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12.01University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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8.02Arizona State University-0.900.0%1st Place
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16.73Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
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12.73California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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13.53University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
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6.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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10.68San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.96California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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9.36University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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11.77San Diego State University-1.870.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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16.02Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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15.42University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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17.66University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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10.77San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 17.0% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 18.7% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 22.5% | 20.6% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 21.8% |
| Brent Lin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Hunter Holguin | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Barraza | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Emma Feasey | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Viviane Carroll | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% |
| Landon McAlister | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Luke Graham | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 17.9% | 29.9% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.