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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Arizona State University-0.90+7.19vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.42+2.18vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.76-0.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-1.46+5.44vs Predicted
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6San Diego State University-1.64+5.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine-1.52+3.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.71-0.63vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-1.53+1.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-3.68vs Predicted
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11California State University Channel Islands-2.08+1.76vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.67-0.78vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine-2.27+0.69vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.82-2.24vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-0.66vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-2.43-2.88vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-3.43-0.14vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-2.89-3.05vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.96-3.83vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-3.22-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
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10.44University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.36San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
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7.37University of California at San Diego-0.710.1%1st Place
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10.53San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
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6.32University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
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12.76California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
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11.22San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
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13.69University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
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11.76University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
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9.28University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
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15.34University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
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14.12University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
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17.86University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
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15.95California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
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16.17Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
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16.85Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Powers | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 15.5% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 18.9% | 18.1% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Buster Baylis | 22.0% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.6% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| JP Finnegan | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Rigel Mummers | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Luke Graham | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 32.7% |
| Vaughn Russell | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 12.6% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 20.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.