Race 5A

mcsa-open-fleet-race-qualifier

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Charlie Herrick 10.5% 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 10.1% 9.7% 11.8% 8.6% 9.1% 7.2% 3.5%
Nithya Balachander 10.7% 11.2% 11.1% 10.2% 10.3% 11.2% 9.8% 10.4% 8.0% 5.4% 1.7%
Jenna Kozal 3.9% 3.6% 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 6.7% 7.4% 9.6% 12.8% 23.2% 18.1%
Nick Myneni 7.8% 8.9% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 9.4% 10.6% 10.2% 11.3% 9.7% 3.8%
Joseph Gallagher 10.4% 8.8% 10.3% 11.2% 9.9% 10.5% 10.1% 9.4% 9.1% 7.6% 2.7%
Joe Serpa 10.8% 11.2% 11.8% 11.5% 10.2% 10.5% 9.8% 9.4% 8.1% 4.5% 2.1%
Jake Weinstein 12.4% 12.9% 10.9% 10.7% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 8.9% 6.7% 5.0% 1.9%
Greg Bittle 8.5% 9.3% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 9.4% 10.2% 10.7% 10.4% 9.7% 3.8%
Christian Ehrnrooth 15.0% 14.3% 13.2% 12.2% 11.1% 9.8% 7.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.1% 1.0%
Carly Irwin 1.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.3% 3.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.4% 6.8% 14.1% 56.5%
Odey Hariri 8.3% 8.0% 8.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.2% 11.3% 12.2% 10.4% 4.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.