← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.10+3.48vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.78+1.31vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.31+1.09vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy2.03+0.55vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont1.64+0.28vs Predicted
-
6Williams College1.47-0.26vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.03-2.39vs Predicted
-
8Bates College0.74-0.82vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College1.50-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.48Dartmouth College2.100.1%1st Place
-
3.31University of Vermont2.780.2%1st Place
-
4.09Tufts University2.310.2%1st Place
-
4.55Maine Maritime Academy2.030.1%1st Place
-
5.28University of Vermont1.640.1%1st Place
-
5.74Williams College1.470.1%1st Place
-
4.61University of Vermont2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.18Bates College0.740.0%1st Place
-
5.74Middlebury College1.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warren (Trace) Smith | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Colby Vavolotis | 21.5% | 21.8% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Barclift | 15.9% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Hollister Poole | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Jeffrey Chace | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.7% |
| Timothy Lorenzen | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 13.3% |
| John Duncan | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Connor Bair-Cucchiaro | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 44.1% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.