← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Cruz0.76+2.44vs Predicted
-
2Arizona State University-0.90+6.14vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.54+0.85vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.42+0.11vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-0.71+2.62vs Predicted
-
6San Diego State University-1.53+4.86vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-1.46+3.20vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.33-1.87vs Predicted
-
9California State University Channel Islands-2.08+3.82vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine-1.52+0.66vs Predicted
-
11San Diego State University-1.64-0.12vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-1.22-2.57vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.82-1.11vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine-2.27-0.43vs Predicted
-
15California State University Channel Islands-2.89+0.71vs Predicted
-
16University of California at San Diego-2.43-1.86vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-2.74-1.65vs Predicted
-
18Arizona State University-3.22-0.77vs Predicted
-
19University of California at Davis-3.43-1.30vs Predicted
-
20San Diego State University-1.67-8.78vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-2.96-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.44University of California at Santa Cruz0.760.2%1st Place
-
8.14Arizona State University-0.900.1%1st Place
-
3.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.540.2%1st Place
-
4.11University of Washington0.420.2%1st Place
-
7.62University of California at San Diego-0.710.1%1st Place
-
10.86San Diego State University-1.530.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of California at San Diego-1.460.0%1st Place
-
6.13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.330.1%1st Place
-
12.82California State University Channel Islands-2.080.0%1st Place
-
10.66University of California at Irvine-1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.88San Diego State University-1.640.0%1st Place
-
9.43University of California at Los Angeles-1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.89University of California at San Diego-1.820.0%1st Place
-
13.57University of California at Irvine-2.270.0%1st Place
-
15.71California State University Channel Islands-2.890.0%1st Place
-
14.14University of California at San Diego-2.430.0%1st Place
-
15.35University of California at Los Angeles-2.740.0%1st Place
-
17.23Arizona State University-3.220.0%1st Place
-
17.7University of California at Davis-3.430.0%1st Place
-
11.22San Diego State University-1.670.0%1st Place
-
16.04Arizona State University-2.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 22.6% | 20.1% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Powers | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blake Roberts | 17.2% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brianne Abbott-Rogge | 16.0% | 14.7% | 16.5% | 16.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Skyler Chaffey | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alex Bussey | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Hunter Holguin | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brent Lin | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Emma Feasey | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Cerretti | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Rigel Mummers | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| JP Finnegan | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Eldridge | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Vaughn Russell | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 12.6% |
| Landon McAlister | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Luke Graham | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 8.0% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 24.1% |
| Tristan Meyer | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 17.6% | 29.6% |
| Juan Alcala | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Viviane Carroll | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.