Race 1A

halifax-river-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefanos Pappas 22.9% 18.2% 15.2% 11.7% 11.4% 8.5% 5.8% 3.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Joe Seiffert 13.2% 12.3% 14.7% 12.9% 12.0% 10.6% 11.4% 6.5% 5.6% 0.8%
Dawson Kohl 16.0% 14.6% 14.3% 14.5% 13.6% 9.4% 7.9% 6.4% 2.7% 0.6%
Charlie Eckert 5.7% 8.0% 9.2% 10.2% 10.3% 12.0% 13.0% 12.7% 15.7% 3.2%
Oliver West 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.2% 11.3% 12.6% 12.6% 14.4% 11.4% 2.8%
Zechariah Frantz 7.0% 5.8% 7.8% 6.5% 8.7% 10.6% 11.7% 14.8% 19.9% 7.2%
Beatriz Newland 6.0% 8.5% 9.4% 9.7% 10.2% 11.5% 12.6% 15.0% 13.4% 3.7%
Brendan Jay 12.8% 14.9% 11.3% 13.8% 12.4% 10.1% 10.2% 8.6% 5.2% 0.7%
Jack Adderley 7.2% 8.4% 8.7% 10.6% 8.5% 12.1% 11.9% 13.9% 15.2% 3.5%
Abigail Hesterhagen 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.6% 2.6% 2.9% 3.8% 8.7% 77.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.