Race 3A

halifax-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Stefanos Pappas 23.0% 18.1% 16.4% 12.2% 10.0% 7.6% 6.7% 3.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Joe Seiffert 13.3% 11.3% 14.8% 13.1% 12.5% 11.3% 10.7% 6.6% 5.5% 0.9%
Dawson Kohl 16.2% 15.6% 13.0% 13.5% 14.3% 9.8% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Charlie Eckert 6.1% 8.1% 9.1% 10.1% 10.1% 11.7% 13.3% 13.4% 14.7% 3.4%
Brendan Jay 12.9% 12.8% 13.1% 12.7% 12.9% 11.9% 8.8% 8.0% 5.9% 1.0%
Oliver West 8.9% 8.5% 9.2% 8.7% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 13.4% 13.5% 3.0%
Beatriz Newland 5.8% 8.8% 9.5% 10.2% 9.0% 12.3% 14.4% 14.0% 12.2% 3.8%
Zechariah Frantz 5.0% 7.7% 6.9% 7.9% 8.8% 10.0% 11.6% 16.1% 20.7% 5.3%
Jack Adderley 7.8% 8.6% 7.6% 10.2% 9.4% 10.9% 12.3% 15.4% 14.2% 3.6%
Abigail Hesterhagen 1.0% 0.5% 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 2.9% 2.5% 3.4% 8.2% 78.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.