Race 6A

halifax-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dawson Kohl 17.1% 17.9% 15.1% 11.2% 11.4% 10.3% 7.8% 4.9% 3.8% 0.5%
Stefanos Pappas 21.2% 16.5% 16.8% 13.8% 10.8% 10.0% 4.7% 4.1% 1.9% 0.2%
Jack Adderley 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 8.2% 9.0% 11.1% 14.5% 14.9% 14.9% 4.3%
Oliver West 7.1% 7.9% 9.8% 11.5% 11.1% 10.6% 14.0% 12.7% 12.8% 2.5%
Beatriz Newland 7.9% 8.9% 7.4% 10.0% 10.2% 11.4% 13.0% 14.5% 13.3% 3.4%
Charlie Eckert 8.2% 7.1% 8.3% 8.8% 10.9% 12.2% 11.6% 12.8% 15.7% 4.4%
Joe Seiffert 11.4% 15.4% 12.0% 14.5% 14.4% 10.2% 9.6% 7.2% 4.2% 1.1%
Zechariah Frantz 5.7% 6.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.8% 10.0% 12.5% 16.5% 19.5% 5.3%
Brendan Jay 13.2% 12.0% 13.7% 12.2% 12.5% 12.2% 9.6% 8.6% 4.8% 1.2%
Abigail Hesterhagen 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 1.6% 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 9.1% 77.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.