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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.18+2.81vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.36+1.67vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University0.60+0.12vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.14-0.17vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.62+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Miami-0.03-1.82vs Predicted
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7Embry-Riddle University-1.66-0.03vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-2.17vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-3.04-0.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.81Jacksonville University0.180.2%1st Place
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3.67University of South Florida0.360.2%1st Place
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3.12Jacksonville University0.600.2%1st Place
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3.83University of Miami0.140.2%1st Place
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5.17Rollins College-0.620.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
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6.97Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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5.83Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.1%1st Place
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8.42Florida Institute of Technology-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Mattice | 16.7% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Zach O'connor | 15.2% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 15.6% | 15.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Darby Smith | 23.8% | 20.0% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher McCollum | 16.2% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Sexton | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 12.5% | 3.2% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 41.0% | 15.3% |
| Nathan Hjort | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 22.6% | 21.4% | 5.0% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 12.6% | 75.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.