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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University0.60+2.10vs Predicted
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2Rollins College-0.62+3.50vs Predicted
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3University of Miami0.14+0.94vs Predicted
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4University of Miami-0.03+0.05vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.36-1.57vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University0.18-2.21vs Predicted
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7Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.94-1.13vs Predicted
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8Embry-Riddle University-1.66-1.08vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-3.04-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Jacksonville University0.600.2%1st Place
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5.5Rollins College-0.620.0%1st Place
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3.94University of Miami0.140.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Miami-0.030.1%1st Place
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3.43University of South Florida0.360.2%1st Place
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3.79Jacksonville University0.180.1%1st Place
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5.87Palm Beach Atlantic University-0.940.1%1st Place
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6.92Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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8.41Florida Institute of Technology-3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darby Smith | 23.9% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Sexton | 4.9% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 17.9% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 3.5% |
| Christopher McCollum | 13.7% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Vanderground | 13.8% | 13.1% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Zach O'connor | 20.0% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Mason Mattice | 15.0% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Hjort | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 16.3% | 24.6% | 19.5% | 4.6% |
| Timothy Dolan | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 17.0% | 39.7% | 15.3% |
| Aaron Lukowski | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 75.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.